World Death Rates and Covid-19 Infection Fatality Rates
It is important to consider the death rate during a pandemic as one would assume there would be a higher percentage of death worldwide. Interestingly, we found the rate of change in death rate % annually did not change during from 2019 to 2020.
|Year||World Population||Deaths||Death %|
As of November 4th, 2021, we are currently on pace for a decrease in the death rate percentage worldwide. It should be noted that we have two months remaining of data collection and there exists a concerning trend in nations and individual states in the United States. The death rates are calculated using the following formula: deaths/world populations = death %.
U.S. Adults Relative to Covid-19
- Adults in in US: All deaths 2019 = 2,854,838 and the leading cause of death in both males and female in 2019 was heart disease at 659,041 deaths, followed by cancer at 599,601: See CDC report page nine: Table C Heart disease and cancer are typically the top two killers of adults every year.
- Regarding Covid-19 infection fatality rate (IFR) (# of deaths/ # of infections = IFR) in over 23 months (January 2nd, 2020 through October 20, 2021), CDC reports 723,242 deaths with 53.6% of those coming in the over 75-year-old population. The CDC also states that 95% of these deaths had 4-or more comorbidities (including folks that simply died of other causes who happened to test positive “with” Covid-19). We will do an entire section on how Covid-19 fatalities are coded and incentivized According CDC, adults have a 99.7% survivability rate from C19. This information will come into play more when we analyze PCR testing and more recently the impact of inoculation campaigns worldwide.
U.S. Children Relative to Covid-19
- According to the CDC Published planning scenarios, the best estimated infection fatality rate (IFR) for children (Ages 0-17) would be 20 out of 1,000,000. This would calculate to a 99.9998% Infection Survivability Rate.
- In total 680 children were listed in The Database between the ages Of 0-18 (January 4th, 2020 through November 5th, 2021) as confirmed or presumed of dying with covid-19. When we analyze these numbers, it is important to further desegregate the data to understand the information. Of the 680 listed deaths between ages 0-18, roughly 95% (646 Children) had other comorbidities listed on their death certificates. On average 4 additional conditions or causes per death. In other words, we cannot assume that Covid-19 was the “Cause” of death more so than any of the other comorbidities, conditions, or causes. The link below compares Covid Deaths with other common causes for childhood death. As the bar chart reveals, cancer, vehicular accidents, and suicide supersedes Covid-19 deaths.
- If we take 5% of the 680 deaths the result would be 43 children dying “of” Covid-19. While this is tragic, and our heart hurts for those families that have suffered a loss of their child, it remains important that we also provide perspective on what everyday living is really like as we interact with each other.
- One of the biggest issues with these datasets is that the CDC constantly changes the attributes of their variables. For instance, 0-17 is a child, and 18-year-old an adult. It is difficult to tease out this information without immediately access to datasets.
- According to 2018 CDC data on child deaths (most recent available), 4074 died in motor vehicle accidents, 3143 fire-arms related (e.g., suicide), 1,853 cancer, 1430 suffocation, 995 drowning, 982 drug overdose and poisoning, etc. To see the full list, click here.
- In 2019, our own government reported that 1840 children died from abuse/neglect.
- In Oklahoma, the neglect and abuse report reveals a minimum of 40 children died from abuse and neglect in 2019: The State of Oklahoma has roughly 475,000 children ages 0-17 which would result in a prediction/estimation of 10 child deaths from Covid-19 using CDC data.
- During 2020, the proportion of mental health related emergency department visits among adolescents aged 12-17 years increased 31% compared with 2019. From February -March 2021, suspected suicide attempts were 50.6% higher among girls aged 12-17 years than the same period in 2019. This number will continue to increase if we do not provide our youth with guidance and hope for a positive future.
- An August 24, 2021 report put out by the Physicians for Informed Consent says that “Overall, the risk of a fatal outcome from COVID-19 is 0.35%. However, the risk varies from 0.001% or one fatal outcome in 100,000 infections in children younger than 18 years. According to their analysis, individuals 65 years or older living in a nursing home have about 30 times more risk of a fatal outcome than people 65 years or older not living in a nursing home. Furthermore, the overall risk of hospitalization is 3.6%, of having symptoms is 67% and of never developing symptoms of SARS-CoV-2 infection is 33%.” The report also compares the infection-fatality rate (IFR) of Covid-19 with the 1918 Influenza outbreak and shows that the 1918 flu had an IFR (chance of dying if infected) about 6 times greater than C19.
- Denmark: Denmark has about 6 million people. As of November 1, 2021, 2,716 had died from Covid since March 2020 (04% death rate) – you must download the excel file to see the data. Only thirty of those deaths were under age 50. Denmark is a relatively healthy country. Just over 1 death per month since March 2020, in the entire country. As of September 10, 2021, they lifted all their C19 restrictions citing ‘high vaccine uptake (74%).” Although, it remains to be seen if they experience the amount of breakthrough cases found in Israel, UK and Scotland; three other countries with exceptionally high injection uptake. More about breakthrough cases later.
- Jay Bhattacharya of Stanford University makes a critical public policy point that there is and remains an enormous difference between the mortality rate in older people, 70 and up, and the mortality rate in children. For young children, Covid-19 is less dangerous than the seasonal flu but the fatality rate in people older than 70 is about 4% (4 in 100) as opposed to 2 in 1000 in the overall population. This data is also changing weekly as both vaccinated and unvaccinated death rates are increasing in nations with high vaccination rates.
- The N. estimated that 130 million additional people would starve in 2020 as a result of the economic damage resulting from the lockdowns.
The facts provided regarding death rates, infection fatality rates, and concerning mental health trends are only the tip of the iceberg. The reality is simple, we will be dealing with the result of our decision making for years to come. In particular, we will need to focus tremendous resources into stabilizing not only our culture, and its system of governance, but our families and our children. We are learning each day more and more about the reckless behaviors associated with elected officials. Rebuilding trust will be essential as government institutions worldwide flounder in their decision making.
The Great Barrington Declaration was signed by over 860,000 people around the world as of October 21, 2021. In summary, this response highlights the fact that the current Covid-19 policies throughout the world, and including the United States are damaging physical and mental health. The signers emphasize a compassionate approach that balances risks and benefits of reaching herd immunity. Those who are at minimal risk of death live their lives normally to build up immunity to the virus through natural infection, while better protecting those at highest risk. Herd immunity doesn’t mean letting people die, but to allow biology to run its course in the populations that are not vulnerable while treating with early interventions those who are most vulnerable. “We know the people who are vulnerable, and we know the people who are not vulnerable.” To continue to act as if we do not know these things makes no sense.”
Questions to consider?
- Why have we been requiring young people to bear the burden of controlling a disease from which they face little to no risk?
- If we are in a pandemic, why was our death rate and infection fatality rate so low during the first year?
- How do we know an individual died with or of Covid-19? Did we test using a PCR? Seroprevalence? What it “probable” or “presumed”?
“Individuals and families will accept the government only if they can trust it.” – Dr. Eric Snyder